Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:44:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6C 0x6ce6…b0a4 crypto 1184 markets active 2d ago coverage 113d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ Covers last 112d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$215 (-1%) realized −$215 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate38%447W / 737L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$19per market
Trades / day6.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 900 -0.1% -9.6% 36% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 914 -0.1% -9.6% 35% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 914 -0.1% -9.6% 35% 0% -9.6%
all 1184 -0.2% -9.7% 38% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.8%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
0.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$6 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.54 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

113d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$215
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses447 / 737
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1184 / 1184
History coverage113d ⚠
Avg bet$19
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1184 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records