Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:45:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6C 0x6cee…2d00 crypto 818 markets active 0h ago coverage 17d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$14 (-0%) realized −$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate93%760W / 58L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day51.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days−$47
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 +1.1% -8.5% 98% 3% -8.5%
≤30d 818 -0.7% -10.1% 93% 8% -10.3%
≤90d 818 -0.7% -10.1% 93% 8% -10.3%
all 818 -0.7% -10.1% 93% 8% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 8% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 2% -18.8%
15% -26.6% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.8% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
90% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses760 / 58
Open positions0
Markets (closed)818 / 818
History coverage17d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day51.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 818 Trades
no open positions (24 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1630 history records