Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:51:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6C
0x6cf0…c2df
sports · 77 markets active 2h ago
4.5score
+$10 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses52 / 23
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)75 / 77
History coverage95d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 2 History 75 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$8
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 22¢ 36¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+61%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Gentle Mates 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 41¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Wildcard 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs 100 Thieves 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs PURE (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Group A PURE 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage Favbet 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage PARIVISION 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Honor of Kings: WLT Esports Club vs UU Gamers (BO5) - KPL Growth League Group Stage UU Gamers 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs TYLOO 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs 100 Thieves 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will England win on 2026-03-31? Yes 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Astralis 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BIG 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage 3DMAX 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Team Falcons 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 FURIA 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +109%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +67%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 +$1 +73%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 $0 +17%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $1 $0 +7%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +83%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1 $0 +40%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 +$1 +76%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 $0 +38%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 +$1 +79%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1 +$1 +137%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $3 +$1 +38%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $2 +$1 +60%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Play May 13 $11 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs May 13 $6 +$3 +50%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 13 $1 $0 +40%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S May 13 $13 −$12 -98%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group St May 12 $1 $0 +45%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S May 12 $1 $0 +40%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 11 $1 $0 +16%
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs May 11 $8 +$12 +158%
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Gr May 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 10 $1 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 10 $1 +$1 +124%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs INOX Division (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe May 10 $4 +$3 +76%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 05 $1 $0 -4%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 05 $2 +$1 +38%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 05 $14 +$7 +50%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Buchar Apr 04 $2 +$1 +53%
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs PURE (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #4 Group A Apr 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs TYLOO (BO3) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battl Apr 04 $1 $0 -12%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 04 $3 −$3 -97%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 04 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B Apr 04 $1 $0 +34%
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Asta Apr 03 $13 +$7 +50%
Mavericks vs. Bucks Apr 01 $1 +$1 +82%
Counter-Strike: HAVU vs Liquid (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Apr 01 $3 +$1 +44%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs Apr 01 $5 −$5 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$10
other 7% $0
finance 1% $0
world 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $1 14h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 15h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL TheMongolz 84¢ $1 20h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $1 26h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $1 37h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 58¢ $1 37h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $1 38h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $2 46h
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage SELL NRG 69¢ $1 2d
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY NRG 63¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 54¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 46¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 65¢ $2 4d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY 9z 56¢ $1 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 71¢ $1 5d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Astralis 60¢ $1 5d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY GamerLegion 51¢ $1 5d
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 5d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BetBoom Team 72¢ $1 5d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL B8 20¢ $2 6d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 8¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY 9z 55¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY BIG 72¢ $3 7d
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY Liquid 61¢ $2 8d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY TYLOO 62¢ $2 8d
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Play BUY 100 Thieves 43¢ $11 30d
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs SELL Nemiga 100¢ $9 30d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group S BUY TheMongolz 41¢ $13 30d
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs BUY Nemiga 66¢ $5 30d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-3.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 +32.5% +19.9% 83% 78% +21.7%
≤30d 20 +27.3% +15.1% 80% 75% +14.1%
≤90d 63 +9.7% -0.7% 70% 65% -3.3%
all 75 +6.5% -3.7% 69% 61% -4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.7% 61% -4.7%
10% -12.9% 55% -13.8%
15% -21.3% 44% -22.1%
20% -29.0% 28% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.62 · official $2.62 (match) · 140 history records