trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 59¢ | 58¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $3 | +$2 (+212%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 81¢ | 80¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Down | 31¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| XRP Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | Down | 6¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | Apr 24 | $1 | $0 | +36% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | Apr 24 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Apr 24 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| XRP Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | Apr 24 | $1 | −$1 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | Apr 24 | $7 | $0 | +6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | Apr 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | Apr 24 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Apr 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | Apr 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | Apr 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -58.0% | -62.0% | 36% | 18% | -39.4% |
| all | 11 | -58.0% | -62.0% | 36% | 18% | -39.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -62.0% | 18% | -39.4% |
| 10% | -65.6% | 9% | -45.2% |
| 15% | -69.0% | 9% | -50.5% |
| 20% | -72.0% | 0% | -55.3% |