Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:37:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d24…fe4d
crypto · 211 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$990 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$227 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$227
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses128 / 83
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)211 / 211
History coverage5d
Avg bet$76
Trades / day131.4
Drawdown76%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 211 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$301
7 days+$227
14 days+$227
30 days+$227
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$42 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$17 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $82 +$18 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$12 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$4 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $205 −$89 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $715 −$114 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $143 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $258 −$250 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $509 +$155 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $514 −$250 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $320 +$64 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $511 −$121 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $514 +$226 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $258 +$93 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $257 +$64 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $307 +$118 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $309 +$66 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $305 +$34 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $610 +$63 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $306 +$84 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $610 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $612 −$120 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $608 +$51 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $306 +$79 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $155 −$132 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $308 +$101 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $254 −$86 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$53 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$51 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$17 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$27 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $389 +$68 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $194 +$100 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$84 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$62 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$49 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$73 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +84%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$238
world 2% −$11
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $31 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $26 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $9 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $51 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $59 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $51 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $62 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $51 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $68 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $51 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $61 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $51 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $39 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $31 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $54 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $109 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $335 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $206 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $266 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $510 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $149 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $143 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $258 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 211 -9.2% -17.8% 61% 40% -8.1%
≤30d 211 -9.2% -17.8% 61% 40% -8.1%
≤90d 211 -9.2% -17.8% 61% 40% -8.1%
all 211 -9.2% -17.8% 61% 40% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover131.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 40% -8.1%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 26% -16.9%
15% -32.9% 12% -24.9%
20% -39.4% 5% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 689 history records