Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d27…e750
crypto · 1381 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$10 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$5
Realized+$9
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1075 / 305
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1380 / 1381
Avg bet$5
Trades / day32.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1380 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$34
7 days+$23
14 days+$15
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 78¢ 98¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+26%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1216 +2.6% -7.2% 77% 32% -9.2%
≤30d 1372 +2.4% -7.4% 78% 31% -9.3%
≤90d 1380 +2.3% -7.4% 78% 31% -9.4%
all 1380 +2.3% -7.4% 78% 31% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 31% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 17% -18.1%
15% -24.4% 5% -26.0%
20% -31.8% 2% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.92 · official $4.92 (match) · 3116 history records