trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -28.1% | -34.9% | 20% | 20% | -20.9% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -11.3% | -19.7% | 33% | 33% | -37.1% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -10.2% | -18.7% | 30% | 30% | -36.0% |
| all | 27 | +14.5% | +3.6% | 44% | 41% | -33.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.6% | 41% | -33.5% |
| 10% | -6.3% | 33% | -39.8% |
| 15% | -15.4% | 33% | -45.6% |
| 20% | -23.7% | 26% | -51.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Paraguay? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | Jun 29 | $164 | +$154 | +94% |
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 29 | $99 | −$24 | -25% |
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 | Jun 29 | $98 | −$9 | -10% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 27 | $90 | −$90 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $1,267 | −$1,179 | -93% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Jun 13 | $88 | −$88 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $44 | +$56 | +129% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $514 | +$530 | +103% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | May 22 | $98 | $0 | -0% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26? | Mar 26 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | Mar 26 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Luca Doncic lead the NBA in scoring? | Mar 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26? | Nov 26 | $20 | −$2 | -8% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26? | Nov 26 | $20 | +$10 | +48% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-26? | Nov 26 | $5 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Nov 23 | $11 | +$29 | +274% |
| Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship? | Nov 09 | $10 | +$2 | +20% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Oct 17 | $22 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Oct 10 | $7 | +$3 | +37% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Oct 10 | $9 | +$13 | +148% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? | Nov 16 | $10 | +$6 | +59% |
| $WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024? | Nov 16 | $1 | +$2 | +223% |
| Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up in September? | Sep 27 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? | Sep 27 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Will there be another debate? | Sep 27 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Trump in jail before election day? | Sep 06 | $1 | $0 | -2% |