Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T20:15:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6D 0x6d4d…f107 crypto 1523 markets active 0h ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 24d only
✗ bot/MM pace (84 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$29 (+0%) realized +$29 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate89%1413W / 168L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day84.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$175
7 days−$160
14 days−$161
30 days−$217
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (84 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 429 -12.6% -20.9% 85% 1% -20.8%
≤30d 1581 -3.5% -12.7% 89% 17% -12.6%
≤90d 1581 -3.5% -12.7% 89% 17% -12.6%
all 1581 -3.5% -12.7% 89% 17% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover84.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 17% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 7% -21.0%
15% -28.7% 4% -28.6%
20% -35.6% 2% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
80% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.08 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$29
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses1413 / 168
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1581 / 1523
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day84.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1581 Trades
no open positions (154 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 20m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 20h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 30h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $20 32h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $20 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $20 34h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records