trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -32.7% | -39.1% | 50% | 50% | -50.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -35.8% | -41.9% | 50% | 50% | -48.4% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -35.8% | -41.9% | 50% | 50% | -48.4% |
| all | 6 | -35.8% | -41.9% | 50% | 50% | -48.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.9% | 50% | -48.4% |
| 10% | -47.5% | 17% | -53.3% |
| 15% | -52.6% | 17% | -57.8% |
| 20% | -57.2% | 17% | -62.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | Yes | 43¢ | 42¢ | $47 | $47 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $141 | −$139 | -99% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $102 | +$18 | +17% |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $20 | +$10 | +52% |
| Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | Jun 04 | $395 | +$62 | +16% |
| Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | Jun 03 | $427 | −$410 | -96% |