Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:21:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6D 0x6d77…565f crypto 63 markets active 8h ago coverage 7d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$41 (-4%) realized −$41 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -32% what you keep after slip
Net edge-32%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate49%31W / 32L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day31.6pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$67
14 days−$67
30 days−$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$69
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -11.7% -20.1% 48% 48% -15.5%
≤30d 63 -11.4% -19.8% 49% 48% -15.5%
≤90d 63 -11.4% -19.8% 49% 48% -15.5%
all 63 -11.4% -19.8% 49% 48% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover31.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 48% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.5% 46% -23.6%
15% -34.5% 38% -31.0%
20% -40.9% 32% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.4 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses31 / 32
Open positions0
Markets (closed)63 / 63
History coverage7d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day31.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 63 Trades
no open positions (29 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +105%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +101%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +101%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +110%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$2 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$2 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +117%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 18h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 19h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 20h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 22h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 24h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 32h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 34h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 35h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 36h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 43h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 43h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 43h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 259 history records