trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 6 | -5.5% | -14.5% | 33% | 0% | -16.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 29% | 0% | -16.6% |
| all | 14 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 50% | 0% | -15.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.4% | 0% | -15.5% |
| 10% | -25.3% | 0% | -23.6% |
| 15% | -32.5% | 0% | -31.0% |
| 20% | -39.1% | 0% | -37.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $29 | $29 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 26 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 25 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 25 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 25 | $27 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 24 | $37 | −$11 | -31% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 23 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | Jun 27 | $9 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | May 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on March 28? | Mar 31 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| Ripple above $2.30 on March 21? | Mar 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |