Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:43:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d95…bd92
other · 3 markets active 2h ago
6.0score
+$78 +110%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$78 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses3 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 0 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$78
7 days+$78
14 days+$78
30 days+$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $25 +$29 +114%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $25 +$40 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 +$9 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 64% +$49
sports 36% +$29
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+85.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +105.0% +85.5% 100% 100% +89.7%
≤30d 3 +105.0% +85.5% 100% 100% +89.7%
≤90d 3 +105.0% +85.5% 100% 100% +89.7%
all 3 +105.0% +85.5% 100% 100% +89.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +85.5% 100% +89.7%
10% +67.8% 100% +71.5%
15% +51.6% 100% +54.9%
20% +36.7% 67% +39.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 6 history records