Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:45:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d9d…c0f1
crypto · 22 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$9 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open +$23
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$79
Realized−$45
Unrealized+$23
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses14 / 7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)21 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$75
Trades / day74.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 21 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days−$45
14 days−$45
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 71¢ 52¢ $56 $41 −$15 (-27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 20¢ 48¢ $16 $38 +$23 (+142%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $75 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $59 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $124 −$20 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $95 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $94 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $186 −$37 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $47 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $73 +$24 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $47 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $168 −$20 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $89 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $47 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $39 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $100 −$27 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $82 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $74 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $17 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $29 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $29 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $9 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $9 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $29 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $29 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $9 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $30 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $16 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $21 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $22 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $11 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $22 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $74 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 +0.5% -9.1% 67% 5% -12.1%
≤30d 21 +0.5% -9.1% 67% 5% -12.1%
≤90d 21 +0.5% -9.1% 67% 5% -12.1%
all 21 +0.5% -9.1% 67% 5% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 5% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 5% -20.5%
15% -25.7% 0% -28.2%
20% -33.0% 0% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $79.32 · official $79.32 (match) · 95 history records