Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:00:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6d9e…9466
weather · 170 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$3
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses102 / 61
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions7
Markets (closed)163 / 170
History coverage39d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day22.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 7 History 163 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$10
14 days+$9
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 58¢ 57¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 73¢ 92¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 63¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 74¢ 72¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 77¢ 74¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 58¢ 55¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) INOX Division 56¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-11%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 9? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on May 6? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Vitality 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 28? No 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 19? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 6? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 19? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $4 $0 +9%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 $0 -18%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +44%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$1 -46%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$1 -37%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $3 +$1 +43%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$1 -26%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$1 -34%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$1 -32%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +67%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$1 +51%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 -11%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $6 +$3 +49%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$2 +35%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1? Jun 01 $8 −$2 -24%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1? May 31 $9 +$1 +15%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1? May 31 $4 +$1 +16%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 31 $6 −$2 -34%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? May 31 $2 $0 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 75% +$2
sports 15% +$9
crypto 7% −$12
other 2% −$3
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 58¢ $1 45m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 63¢ $1 52m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 77¢ $1 57m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 73¢ $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 71¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 59¢ $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 58¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 64¢ $1 4h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 71¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 63¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 74¢ $1 6h
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Wanted Goons 70¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 57¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ BUY OLDBOYS- 85¢ $1 11h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 61¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 83¢ $1 13h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 61¢ $1 13h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 63¢ $1 13h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 69¢ $1 13h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 71¢ $1 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 70¢ $1 14h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $1 14h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Vitality 79¢ $1 14h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 83¢ $1 15h
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 60¢ $1 15h
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group BUY MASONIC 84¢ $1 15h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 74¢ $1 15h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 68¢ $1 16h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 68¢ $1 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +12.7% +2.0% 71% 64% +2.1%
≤30d 119 +0.3% -9.3% 66% 49% -9.1%
≤90d 163 -0.2% -9.7% 63% 45% -9.9%
all 163 -0.2% -9.7% 63% 45% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 45% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 28% -18.5%
15% -26.3% 20% -26.4%
20% -33.5% 11% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.30 · official $10.30 (match) · 919 history records