Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:41:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
6D 0x6da4…db0a crypto 1102 markets active 0h ago coverage 52d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 52d only
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$167 (+2%) realized +$167 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR14%break-even
Win rate78%860W / 242L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day64.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$40
7 days−$96
14 days−$39
30 days−$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$224
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -15.2% -23.3% 66% 11% -20.1%
≤30d 605 -2.2% -11.5% 81% 11% -10.5%
≤90d 1102 -3.3% -12.5% 78% 14% -11.4%
all 1102 -3.3% -12.5% 78% 14% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 14% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 5% -19.9%
15% -28.5% 2% -27.6%
20% -35.5% 1% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
80% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

52d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$167
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses860 / 242
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1102 / 1102
History coverage52d ⚠
Avg bet$10
Trades / day64.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1102 Trades
no open positions (33 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$4 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $35 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 15 $45 −$2 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$5 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $31 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $2 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $7 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $12 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records