Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:10:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6D 0x6da7…25aa crypto 1554 markets active 0h ago coverage 38d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$101 (-1%) realized −$101 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate62%957W / 597L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day56.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$31
14 days−$144
30 days−$196
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$217
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 539 +0.7% -8.9% 97% 7% -8.7%
≤30d 710 -16.9% -24.8% 79% 8% -13.5%
≤90d 1554 -9.1% -17.7% 62% 27% -11.9%
all 1554 -9.1% -17.7% 62% 27% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover56.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 27% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 22% -20.3%
15% -32.8% 17% -28.0%
20% -39.4% 15% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
56% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.53 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

38d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$101
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses957 / 597
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1554 / 1554
History coverage38d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day56.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1554 Trades
no open positions (454 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 15 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 15 $7 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $16 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $8 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $7 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $16 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3186 history records