Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:07:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6da8…d660
crypto · 1007 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,761 -53%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$231 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$231
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses454 / 554
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1008 / 1007
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day291.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1008 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$31
7 days−$121
14 days−$231
30 days−$231
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will PAOK win on 2025-12-11? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will PAOK win on 2025-12-11? Jun 14 $5 −$10 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$4 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$4 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$4 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +108%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$2 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$221
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Down 33¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $6 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $5 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $3 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $2 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 86¢ $2 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $0 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $4 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 30m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 892 -3.5% -12.7% 46% 44% -11.8%
≤30d 1008 -4.8% -13.8% 45% 43% -13.5%
≤90d 1008 -4.8% -13.8% 45% 43% -13.5%
all 1008 -4.8% -13.8% 45% 43% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover291.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.8% 43% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 38% -21.7%
15% -29.6% 29% -29.3%
20% -36.5% 18% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records