Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:30:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6db4…a28d
crypto · 90 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$60 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$69 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$69
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses31 / 59
Open positions0
Markets (closed)90 / 90
History coverage169d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$71
7 days−$69
14 days−$69
30 days−$69
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 37¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+169%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$3 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$68
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-26.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 89 -18.7% -26.5% 35% 22% -21.6%
≤30d 89 -18.7% -26.5% 35% 22% -21.6%
≤90d 89 -18.7% -26.5% 35% 22% -21.6%
all 90 -19.1% -26.8% 34% 22% -21.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.8% 22% -21.7%
10% -33.8% 18% -29.2%
15% -40.2% 18% -36.0%
20% -46.1% 14% -42.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.52 · official $10.00 (match) · 367 history records