Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6db5…e279
sports · 132 markets active 8h ago
0.0score
+$1,260,422 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,260,422 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$531
Realized+$1,260,422
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses79 / 53
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$75,540
Open positions0
Markets (closed)132 / 132
Avg bet$55,100
Trades / day79.0
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 132 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$814,510
7 days+$995,814
14 days+$859,065
30 days+$935,135
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets New York Mets 58¢ 100¢ $308 $531 +$223 (+72%)
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Atlanta Dream 45¢ 0¢ $6,268 $0 −$6,268 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $7,621 −$6,200 -81%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $337 +$221 +66%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $7,047 −$1,066 -15%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $6,457 +$7,052 +109%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $311,173 +$840,309 +270%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $1,312 −$824 -63%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline Jun 10 $172 +$310 +180%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 10 $488 +$73 +15%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $1,483 +$714 +48%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $274,080 −$26,079 -10%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 08 $2,073 −$148 -7%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 08 $2,588 +$371 +14%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline Jun 06 $44 −$44 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $611,516 +$182,703 +30%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 05 $3,827 −$1,578 -41%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 04 $4,249 −$2,490 -59%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $452,198 −$102,346 -23%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1Q Winner Jun 04 $5 +$1 +24%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 04 $228 +$14 +6%
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty Jun 04 $27,123 −$481 -2%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 04 $6,459 −$4,968 -77%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 04 $3,768 −$997 -26%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 04 $19,822 −$8,005 -40%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 04 $2,467 +$966 +39%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 04 $4,519 +$204 +4%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 01 $16,167 +$3,858 +24%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets May 31 $2,541 −$2,198 -86%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $363,241 −$42,387 -12%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies May 31 $585 +$326 +56%
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 30 $3,911 +$732 +19%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 30 $3,243 +$2,350 +72%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers May 30 $29 −$4 -14%
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty May 30 $23,418 +$1,206 +5%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies May 30 $573 +$381 +66%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $123,747 +$16,672 +14%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 29 $2,832 +$415 +15%
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets May 28 $2,270 +$370 +16%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox May 28 $3,780 +$916 +24%
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty May 28 $36,016 +$2,843 +8%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 27 $1,262 +$206 +16%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $141,721 −$6,188 -4%
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox May 27 $4,953 +$940 +19%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants May 27 $6 −$6 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets May 27 $6,437 +$5,329 +83%
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians May 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres May 26 $4,528 −$1,299 -29%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $23,829 +$1,664 +7%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 25 $117,141 −$15,285 -13%
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks May 25 $176 −$167 -95%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream May 25 $27,677 −$2,640 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,260,422
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY Atlanta Dream 36¢ $5 8h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY New York Liberty 52¢ $672 8h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY Atlanta Dream 42¢ $5,018 8h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY Atlanta Dream 53¢ $827 8h
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream BUY Atlanta Dream 54¢ $1,100 8h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 69¢ $3 13h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY St. Louis Cardinals 40¢ $10 13h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 58¢ $323 14h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 85¢ $12,192 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 93¢ $1,617 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 92¢ $1,660 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 40¢ $841 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 32¢ $469 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 67¢ $1,614 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 68¢ $428 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 60¢ $719 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 49¢ $1,426 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 40¢ $723 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 63¢ $2,331 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 68¢ $1,095 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 59¢ $316 29h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 90¢ $17 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 45¢ $875 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 38¢ $1,256 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 34¢ $1,618 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 61¢ $2,616 29h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 71¢ $21 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 60¢ $376 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 60¢ $1,918 29h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 50¢ $15,802 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +26.9% +14.8% 53% 53% +63.8%
≤30d 102 +1.9% -7.8% 55% 41% +6.5%
≤90d 132 +6.1% -4.0% 60% 46% +6.2%
all 132 +6.1% -4.0% 60% 46% +6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover79.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.0% 46% +6.2%
10% -13.2% 33% -4.0%
15% ← realistic here -21.5% 19% -13.3%
20% -29.2% 14% -21.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $531.19 · official $531.19 (match) · 3500 history records