Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:39:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6dbf…2418
sports · 1070 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$69 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$80 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$80
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses600 / 463
Est. fees paid−$13
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1063 / 1070
History coverage158d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day12.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 7 History 1063 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days−$21
14 days+$8
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 38¢ 58¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+55%)
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5 Under 46¢ 75¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+63%)
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? Yes 49¢ 80¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+63%)
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Kaitlyn Carnicella Alina Shcherbinina 74¢ 82¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+11%)
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Sri Lanka 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifier KT Rolster Challengers 90¢ 90¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty New York Liberty 86¢ 90¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka West Indies 57¢ 58¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Lloyd Harris Lloyd Harris 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? No 80¢ 20¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-75%)
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Lea Ma Lea Ma 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Da Cruz Mendonca vs Maria Florencia Urrutia Maria Florencia Urrutia 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
LoL: BOMBA Team vs MAGAZA (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage BOMBA Team 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox Seattle Mariners 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Manon Leonard Katherine Sebov 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Real Madrid vs. CB Breogan Lugo Real Madrid 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Mayar Sherif 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce Mattia Bellucci 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A MOUZ 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Cordoba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Miguel Tobon Miguel Tobon 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Oeiras 4: Billy Harris vs Petr Brunclik Billy Harris 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 11? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $1 +$1 +48%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5) Jun 14 $2 +$2 +83%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5 Jun 14 $2 +$2 +97%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $1 +$1 +36%
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Jun 13 $1 +$1 +40%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Branko Djuric Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Aziz Dougaz Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Yannik Kelm Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $2 +$3 +146%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $2 +$2 +83%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $2 +$1 +73%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +21%
ITF Merzig: Marie Weckerle vs Valentina Steiner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +44%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
ITF Monastir: Marcus Walters vs Dominick Mosejczuk Jun 13 $1 +$1 +48%
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Tamila Gadamauri Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
ITF Monastir: Aspen Schuman vs Sun Min Ha Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
ITF Monastir: Victoria Milovanova vs Lourdes Ayala Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
ITF Kayseri: Mandegar Farzami vs Lan Mi Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
ITF Kayseri: Haydar Cem Gokpinar vs Maxwell Mckennon Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Dinko Dinev Jun 13 $2 +$1 +42%
ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki Jun 13 $2 +$2 +90%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 169.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +97%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +109%
Will Northampton Saints win? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Will Bath win? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$3 +158%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
ITF Vaasa: Moritz Kudernatsch vs Leonardo Rossi Jun 12 $1 +$1 +48%
ITF Zagreb: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Gina Marie Dittmann Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Laura Mair Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 58% +$15
other 25% −$52
world 7% +$2
weather 3% −$16
politics 3% −$14
crypto 2% −$13
culture 1% −$2
tech 1% $0
finance 0% +$1
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY New York Liberty 86¢ $2 41m
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 165.5 BUY Under 46¢ $2 47m
ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Kaitlyn Carnicella BUY Alina Shcherbinina 74¢ $2 1h
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka BUY West Indies 57¢ $2 1h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas BUY KT Rolster Challengers 90¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 73¢ $1 28h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 67¢ $1 29h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Solary 83¢ $2 30h
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam BUY Kajsa Rinaldo Persson 55¢ $2 30h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 61¢ $2 30h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5) BUY Minnesota Lynx 54¢ $2 31h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 40¢ $2 31h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady BUY Zachary Svajda 74¢ $2 32h
ITF Merzig: Eva Bennemann vs Tamila Gadamauri BUY Eva Bennemann 78¢ $2 32h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Aziz Dougaz BUY Raphael Collignon 89¢ $2 32h
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 54¢ $2 33h
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5 BUY Over 50¢ $2 34h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Bangladesh 47¢ $2 35h
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon BUY Lucciana Perez Alarcon 71¢ $1 36h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Galions 69¢ $1 37h
ITF Kayseri: Mandegar Farzami vs Lan Mi BUY Lan Mi 84¢ $2 37h
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Yannik Kelm BUY Yannik Kelm 63¢ $2 37h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 57¢ $2 38h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 63¢ $2 38h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playo BUY Karmine Corp Blue 71¢ $1 38h
ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki BUY Ikumi Yamazaki 52¢ $2 40h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Hikaru Sato 84¢ $2 41h
ITF Monastir: Aspen Schuman vs Sun Min Ha BUY Aspen Schuman 90¢ $2 42h
ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Dinko Dinev BUY Ivan Marrero Curbelo 70¢ $2 43h
ITF Merzig: Marie Weckerle vs Valentina Steiner BUY Valentina Steiner 69¢ $1 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 201 -6.0% -14.9% 68% 54% -14.8%
≤30d 299 -1.4% -10.8% 64% 54% -9.4%
≤90d 573 -4.2% -13.4% 53% 46% -11.2%
all 1063 -2.7% -12.0% 56% 39% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.0% 39% -11.2%
10% -20.4% 28% -19.7%
15% -28.1% 22% -27.5%
20% -35.1% 16% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.52 · official $23.22 · 2506 history records