Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:45:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6dd1…d24f
crypto · 116 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$36 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$45 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$45
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses50 / 53
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions13
Markets (closed)103 / 116
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day52.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 13 History 103 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$45
14 days−$45
30 days−$45
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 40¢ 68¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+71%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 27¢ 32¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+17%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 30¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 47¢ 48¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 68¢ 68¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Spain 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-38%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +26%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$38
other 7% −$4
sports 6% −$3
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-36.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 103 -30.0% -36.6% 49% 42% -29.7%
≤30d 103 -30.0% -36.6% 49% 42% -29.7%
≤90d 103 -30.0% -36.6% 49% 42% -29.7%
all 103 -30.0% -36.6% 49% 42% -29.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.6% 42% -29.7%
10% ← realistic here -42.7% 31% -36.4%
15% -48.2% 18% -42.6%
20% -53.3% 14% -48.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.61 · official $13.55 (match) · 222 history records