Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:03:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6dd2…0461
sports · 332 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$80 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$60 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$60
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses180 / 146
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions6
Markets (closed)326 / 332
History coverage68d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day12.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 6 History 326 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14
7 days−$4
14 days−$19
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 91¢ 94¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 20¢ 38¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+92%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Under 80¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Aurora Gaming 10¢ 6¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-45%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Vitality 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner GamerLegion 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 FlyQuest 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$2 -52%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 $0 +24%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2 +$1 +26%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $2 +$1 +29%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 +$1 +31%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $8 −$6 -74%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 −$3 -42%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$3 -68%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$1 -67%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $4 +$4 +87%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $7 +$4 +58%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 +$1 +50%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $3 −$1 -28%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $3 +$3 +84%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $2 −$1 -33%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 $0 +27%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 $0 +49%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -74%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $3 +$2 +68%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 +$2 +76%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1 $0 -47%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 +$1 +73%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -86%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 +$1 +73%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1 +$1 +140%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 +$1 +101%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% −$46
crypto 22% −$20
other 2% −$11
politics 0% −$2
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $1 15m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Aurora Gaming 10¢ $1 23m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 10¢ $1 23m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 91¢ $3 23m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 53¢ $1 44m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 100¢ $8 44m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 70¢ $1 59m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 95¢ $1 59m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 94¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 79¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 10¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 86¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 84¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 18¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 21¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 59¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 88¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 56¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 56¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 21¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 20¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 31¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 80¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 30¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 65¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 65¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 84¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 78¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 87¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Vitality 99¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -9.6% -18.2% 55% 49% -8.3%
≤30d 123 -11.3% -19.7% 54% 46% -11.0%
≤90d 326 -9.5% -18.1% 55% 46% -14.4%
all 326 -9.5% -18.1% 55% 46% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.1% 46% -14.4%
10% -25.9% 36% -22.6%
15% -33.1% 25% -30.1%
20% -39.6% 18% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.23 · official $6.23 (match) · 988 history records