Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T06:59:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6D 0x6ddf…3c57 crypto 58 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (75 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$304 (-3%) realized −$294 · open −$10
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate96%55W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$172per market
Trades / day75.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$90now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$310
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (75 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -2.5% -11.8% 96% 0% -12.3%
≤30d 57 -2.5% -11.8% 96% 0% -12.3%
≤90d 57 -2.5% -11.8% 96% 0% -12.3%
all 57 -2.5% -11.8% 96% 0% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover75.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 0% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 0% -20.7%
15% -28.0% 0% -28.3%
20% -35.0% 0% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$198 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.24 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$90
Realized−$294
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses55 / 2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)57 / 58
History coverage1d
Avg bet$172
Trades / day75.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 57 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 99¢ 90¢ $99 $90 −$10 (-10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 2 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 19 $193 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $198 −$198 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 19 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 18 $198 −$198 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 18 $198 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $193 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $198 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $198 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $89.50 · official $55.50 · 130 history records