Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:14:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6df5…6430
sports · 773 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$16,982 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16,982 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$16,982
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses187 / 566
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$1,245
Open positions0
Markets (closed)753 / 773
History coverage27d
Avg bet$88
Trades / day124.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 753 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,399
7 days−$7,541
14 days−$9,279
30 days−$16,982
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 24¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 22¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner FOKUS 19¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 27¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 14¢ 0¢ $63 $0 −$63 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 15¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 28¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 7¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5 Over 8¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Over 28¢ 0¢ $225 $0 −$225 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Astralis 50¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner Wildcard 23¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Haiti vs. Peru: O/U 5.5 Over 4¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? No 11¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs OG 28¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 15¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 12¢ 0¢ $135 $0 −$135 (-100%)
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Will Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner GenOne 22¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: CarritoSpain vs Diamant Esports - Map 2 Winner CarritoSpain 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winner against All authority 15¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $88 −$111 -126%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 13 $420 −$420 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $105 −$105 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoff Jun 13 $285 −$285 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $170 −$170 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 13 $76 −$76 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $179 −$179 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $61 −$95 -156%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $121 −$121 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Jun 13 $327 −$327 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Jun 13 $247 −$247 -100%
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $295 −$295 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs Jun 13 $81 −$81 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $111 −$111 -100%
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $187 −$187 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 13 $120 −$120 -100%
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD end in a draw? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $120 −$120 -100%
Spread: Girona FC (-1.5) Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $196 −$196 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $143 −$143 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $155 −$155 -100%
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $76 −$76 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $158 −$158 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $252 −$252 -100%
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $52 −$52 -100%
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $219 −$219 -100%
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $319 −$319 -100%
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) Jun 13 $174 −$174 -100%
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5) Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $180 −$180 -100%
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5) Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $94 −$94 -100%
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $121 −$121 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? Jun 13 $330 −$330 -100%
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $146 −$146 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 13 $107 −$107 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% −$7,528
crypto 15% −$117
other 9% −$358
world 0% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $48 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $26 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-32.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 293 -25.2% -32.3% 28% 27% -37.0%
≤30d 753 -25.4% -32.5% 25% 24% -32.4%
≤90d 753 -25.4% -32.5% 25% 24% -32.4%
all 753 -25.4% -32.5% 25% 24% -32.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover124.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.5% 24% -32.4%
10% ← realistic here -39.0% 24% -38.9%
15% -44.9% 22% -44.8%
20% -50.3% 21% -50.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $20.00 · 3500 history records