Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:31:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6D 0x6df8…11b6 crypto 813 markets active 10h ago coverage 46d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$7,075 (-6%) realized −$7,075 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate75%609W / 204L
Whale WR84%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$141per market
Trades / day24.7pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,502
7 days−$3,503
14 days−$3,479
30 days−$8,372
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 90% −$6,759
other 10% −$1,197
world 0% −$20
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 218 -7.4% -16.2% 81% 28% -14.6%
≤30d 761 -8.8% -17.5% 75% 37% -16.5%
≤90d 813 -8.3% -17.0% 75% 38% -15.8%
all 813 -8.3% -17.0% 75% 38% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover24.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 38% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 19% -23.9%
15% -32.2% 10% -31.3%
20% -38.9% 6% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
47% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 84% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -11% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$95 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

46d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,075
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses609 / 204
Whale WR (big bets)84%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)813 / 813
History coverage46d
Avg bet$141
Trades / day24.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 813 Trades
no open positions (99 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $201 +$13 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $50 +$4 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $50 −$50 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $51 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $51 +$8 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $51 −$50 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $201 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $206 −$206 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $103 −$103 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $100 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$14 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $505 −$500 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $556 −$244 -44%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $150 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $205 +$58 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $203 +$46 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 16 $48 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 16 $201 +$14 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $201 −$1 -1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $202 +$24 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $202 +$31 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $153 −$153 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $151 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 16 $151 +$14 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$3 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $151 +$13 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $150 +$7 +5%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $151 +$14 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $151 −$151 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $302 +$27 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $304 +$58 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $151 +$14 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $151 +$9 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $150 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $150 +$4 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $151 +$25 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$17 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$12 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $201 +$9 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$17 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $150 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $506 −$506 -100%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $277 +$57 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $251 +$7 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $50 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $50 10h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $50 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $51 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $51 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $51 11h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $201 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $103 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $103 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $101 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $505 32h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $202 32h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $312 32h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $355 32h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $150 32h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $263 33h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $205 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $203 33h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $48 33h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $201 33h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $200 34h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $201 34h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $202 35h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $202 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $153 35h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2088 history records