Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:41:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6D
0x6dfb…f1b7
sports · 299 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$428 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$606 · open −$178
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$977
Realized+$606
Unrealized−$178
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses131 / 381
Est. fees paid−$31
Open positions73
Markets (closed)512 / 299
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day1565.6
Drawdown28%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 73 History 512 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$606
7 days+$606
14 days+$606
30 days+$606
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 45¢ 81¢ $61 $110 +$49 (+80%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 81¢ 92¢ $88 $100 +$12 (+14%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 52¢ 99¢ $52 $100 +$48 (+92%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 44¢ 78¢ $53 $93 +$40 (+74%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 82¢ 94¢ $77 $87 +$10 (+14%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Seattle Mariners 85¢ 92¢ $68 $73 +$5 (+7%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 82¢ 100¢ $48 $58 +$11 (+22%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 65¢ 62¢ $58 $56 −$2 (-4%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 57¢ 18¢ $98 $32 −$67 (-68%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants 54¢ 52¢ $23 $22 −$1 (-5%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 32¢ 38¢ $18 $20 +$3 (+16%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 55¢ 22¢ $38 $15 −$22 (-59%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Under 42¢ 100¢ $6 $14 +$8 (+135%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Under 41¢ 49¢ $12 $14 +$2 (+20%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Athletics 67¢ 66¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-2%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 35¢ 34¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 47¢ 48¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+3%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Under 38¢ 72¢ $4 $8 +$4 (+90%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Over 76¢ 48¢ $12 $7 −$5 (-38%)
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) Arizona Diamondbacks 84¢ 94¢ $7 $7 +$1 (+12%)
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) New York Mets 27¢ 89¢ $2 $7 +$5 (+226%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Under 45¢ 58¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+29%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Under 34¢ 52¢ $4 $7 +$2 (+53%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 35¢ 6¢ $29 $5 −$24 (-82%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Under 77¢ 96¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+24%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Hawks vs. Knicks Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$640
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 44¢ $1 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 44¢ $1 0m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 65¢ $1 0m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 64¢ $1 0m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 56¢ $1 0m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 56¢ $1 0m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 54¢ $1 0m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 43¢ $1 1m
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) BUY St. Louis Cardinals 33¢ $0 1m
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 87¢ $1 1m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 53¢ $1 1m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 96¢ $1 1m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 53¢ $1 1m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 53¢ $1 1m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 53¢ $1 1m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 53¢ $1 1m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 53¢ $1 1m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 53¢ $1 1m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 53¢ $1 1m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 53¢ $1 1m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 53¢ $1 1m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 BUY Over 51¢ $1 1m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 40¢ $1 1m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 13¢ $1 1m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 13¢ $1 1m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 13¢ $1 1m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY San Francisco Giants 52¢ $1 2m
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) BUY Chicago Cubs 67¢ $1 2m
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) BUY Chicago Cubs 67¢ $1 2m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 37¢ $1 2m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 512 -12.0% -20.4% 26% 21% +14.9%
≤30d 512 -12.0% -20.4% 26% 21% +14.9%
≤90d 512 -12.0% -20.4% 26% 21% +14.9%
all 512 -12.0% -20.4% 26% 21% +14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1565.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 21% +14.9%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 17% +3.9%
15% -35.0% 14% -6.2%
20% -41.3% 12% -15.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $976.61 · official $961.38 · 3500 history records