Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:21:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6e02…d70a sports 39 markets active 0h ago coverage 14d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 14d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (245 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$65,409 (+19%) realized +$65,409 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate51%20W / 19L
Whale WR60%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8,888per market
Trades / day244.8pace
Fees−$6,457est.
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
sports 98% −$919
other 2% +$873
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (245 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -20.8% -28.3% 42% 11% -20.5%
≤30d 39 -8.5% -17.2% 51% 33% -9.2%
≤90d 39 -8.5% -17.2% 51% 33% -9.2%
all 39 -8.5% -17.2% 51% 33% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover244.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 33% -9.2%
10% -25.2% 15% -17.9%
15% ← realistic here -32.4% 10% -25.8%
20% -39.0% 8% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 41% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 60% (≥$8,826) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late -18% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
47.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,923 vs −$2,027 · ×0.95 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

14d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$65,409
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses20 / 19
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$6,457
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage14d ⚠
Avg bet$8,888
Trades / day244.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 39 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will England win? Jun 17 $1,343 −$110 -8%
Will New Zealand win? Jun 17 $4 $0 -4%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland Jun 16 $4,202 +$253 +6%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka Jun 16 $3,527 −$1,481 -42%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 15 $12,326 −$1,741 -14%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Lancashire Jun 14 $7,491 −$1,970 -26%
T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Worcestershire Jun 14 $1,892 −$657 -35%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $11,645 −$3,553 -30%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 14 $8,826 −$5,023 -57%
T20 Blast: Essex vs Kent Jun 14 $30,758 +$2,254 +7%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs New Zealand Jun 14 $48,483 −$6,875 -14%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 14 $12,025 −$6,023 -50%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Bangladesh vs Netherlands Jun 14 $24,733 +$2,181 +9%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan Jun 14 $3,426 +$282 +8%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 14 $14,551 −$3,556 -24%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $19,810 +$429 +2%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $2,986 +$699 +23%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $25 +$3 +11%
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $6,957 +$262 +4%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $5,520 +$1,717 +31%
Will the match end in a draw? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -72%
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Derbyshire Jun 08 $3,531 −$31 -1%
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Essex Jun 08 $191 −$26 -14%
T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands Jun 08 $59 −$40 -67%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Warwickshire Jun 08 $5,566 +$3,463 +62%
T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Warwickshire Jun 08 $2,864 −$2,497 -87%
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Leicestershire Jun 08 $1,748 −$1,744 -100%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 08 $5,372 −$3,168 -59%
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Glamorgan Jun 07 $5,017 +$4,822 +96%
T20 Blast: Gloucestershire vs Worcestershire Jun 07 $1,265 +$527 +42%
Will New Zealand win? Jun 07 $146 −$11 -8%
Will England win? Jun 07 $5,530 +$996 +18%
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshire Jun 06 $4,666 +$659 +14%
T20 Blast: Yorkshire vs Lancashire Jun 05 $7,406 +$1,261 +17%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Hampshire Jun 05 $3,050 +$445 +15%
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Glamorgan Jun 05 $5,414 +$7,235 +134%
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorgan Jun 05 $53,286 +$8,491 +16%
T20 Blast: Surrey vs Middlesex Jun 04 $11,166 +$493 +4%
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Pakistan vs West Indies Jun 03 $9,830 +$1,991 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will England win? SELL Yes 52¢ $496 16m
Will New Zealand win? SELL Yes 35¢ $4 16m
Will England win? SELL Yes 49¢ $3 51m
Will England win? SELL Yes 49¢ $159 1h
Will England win? SELL Yes 50¢ $22 1h
Will New Zealand win? BUY Yes 35¢ $4 1h
Will England win? SELL Yes 52¢ $10 1h
Will England win? SELL Yes 54¢ $65 1h
Will England win? SELL Yes 55¢ $345 1h
Will England win? SELL Yes 58¢ $20 1h
Will England win? SELL Yes 63¢ $100 1h
Will England win? BUY Yes 57¢ $1,262 2h
Will England win? SELL Yes 55¢ $11 2h
Will England win? BUY Yes 50¢ $81 2h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland BUY England 95¢ $667 21h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland BUY England 94¢ $214 21h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland BUY England 94¢ $1,001 21h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland BUY England 94¢ $1,001 21h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland BUY England 94¢ $94 21h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland BUY England 94¢ $94 21h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland BUY England 94¢ $94 21h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland BUY England 94¢ $471 21h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland BUY England 94¢ $471 21h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland BUY England 94¢ $94 21h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka BUY New Zealand 30¢ $6 23h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka SELL New Zealand 38¢ $81 23h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka SELL New Zealand 39¢ $51 23h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka SELL New Zealand 40¢ $23 23h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka BUY New Zealand 53¢ $1,014 23h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka BUY New Zealand 53¢ $705 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records