Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T11:48:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6e03…20b3 crypto 42 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable
Total PnL +$270 (+16%) realized +$270 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +33% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +2% what you keep after slip
Net edge+2%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate50%21W / 21L
Drawdown98%max
Avg bet$41per market
Trades / day53.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$2
other 1% −$6
sports 1% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+20.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +33.2% +20.5% 50% 43% -9.1%
≤30d 42 +33.2% +20.5% 50% 43% -9.1%
≤90d 42 +33.2% +20.5% 50% 43% -9.1%
all 42 +33.2% +20.5% 50% 43% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +20.5% 43% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here +9.0% 40% -17.8%
15% -1.6% 36% -25.7%
20% -11.2% 33% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 38% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
10% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +33% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +71% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$27 vs −$26 · ×1.02 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×1.02 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$270
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses21 / 21
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)42 / 42
History coverage1d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day53.0
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 42 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? Jun 16 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 16 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $203 −$203 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $102 +$33 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $102 +$51 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $101 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $100 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $103 −$100 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $103 +$75 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $26 +$20 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 16 $51 −$11 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $31 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $107 +$47 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $127 −$18 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $36 +$24 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$9 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 16 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 16 $104 +$118 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$95 +1775%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $30 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$16 +312%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $10 +$17 +165%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 15 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 15 $5 −$5 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? SELL No 66¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $102 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $103 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $103 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $27 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 84 history records