Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:55:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e05…50e5
crypto · 438 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$48 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$54 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized−$54
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses337 / 95
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)432 / 438
History coverage138d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 6 History 432 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$32
14 days−$60
30 days−$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes 42¢ 68¢ $10 $16 +$6 (+61%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No 80¢ 80¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes 80¢ 82¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No 74¢ 76¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 67¢ 60¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 Over 7¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Atlanta Dream 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Spurs 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 84¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5 Over 67¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Spurs 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5) Colorado Rockies 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Detroit Tigers 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Pittsburgh Pirates 55¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $5 −$2 -49%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $5 +$1 +17%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 Jun 10 $4 +$3 +79%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $11 +$3 +25%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $8 −$8 -99%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $7 +$6 +90%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 Jun 07 $5 +$4 +70%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5) Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 05 $5 +$3 +57%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Jun 04 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET Jun 03 $12 −$9 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET Jun 02 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3AM ET Jun 01 $10 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $8 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? Jun 01 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5PM ET May 31 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET May 30 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET May 30 $11 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET May 29 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3AM ET May 29 $14 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET May 29 $13 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET May 29 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET May 28 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET May 28 $17 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET May 25 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6PM ET May 24 $13 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET May 23 $15 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET May 21 $16 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET May 20 $16 $0 +1%
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 5.5 May 19 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET May 19 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET May 19 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET May 19 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET May 18 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET May 18 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET May 18 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET May 18 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET May 18 $13 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3PM ET May 18 $11 $0 +0%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5 May 18 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9PM ET May 17 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 57% −$14
politics 14% −$1
other 12% +$4
sports 10% −$39
world 5% +$4
economics 1% −$2
finance 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 7¢ $1 2m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 67¢ $5 32m
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY No 74¢ $8 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL No 95¢ $6 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY No 76¢ $5 3h
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? SELL No 37¢ $3 8h
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-3.5) BUY Atlanta Dream 62¢ $5 43h
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? BUY Yes 42¢ $10 2d
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) BUY Spurs 70¢ $5 2d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 72¢ $5 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 84¢ $6 2d
Spread: Spurs (-2.5) BUY Spurs 71¢ $5 2d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Detroit Tigers 50¢ $6 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Miami Marlins 85¢ $5 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 55¢ $4 3d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? BUY No 80¢ $10 4d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 80¢ $11 4d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 67¢ $8 4d
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs BUY Chicago Cubs 37¢ $4 5d
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers BUY Los Angeles Angels 52¢ $7 5d
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 59¢ $5 5d
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 38¢ $10 6d
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 BUY Over 51¢ $10 7d
Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 48¢ $5 7d
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Kansas City Royals 63¢ $5 8d
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? BUY Yes 80¢ $8 8d
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 55¢ $7 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $3 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $13 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -36.2% -42.3% 40% 40% -41.9%
≤30d 61 -13.4% -21.7% 79% 11% -17.8%
≤90d 253 -3.8% -12.9% 84% 3% -11.3%
all 432 -2.3% -11.6% 78% 4% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 4% -10.4%
10% -20.0% 1% -18.9%
15% -27.8% 1% -26.8%
20% -34.9% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.11 · official $48.11 (match) · 1748 history records