trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +18.8% | +7.5% | 100% | 100% | +7.5% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +18.8% | +7.5% | 100% | 100% | +7.5% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +9.1% | -1.3% | 100% | 33% | -1.2% |
| all | 7 | +10.8% | +0.3% | 86% | 29% | -3.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.3% | 29% | -3.1% |
| 10% | -9.3% | 14% | -12.3% |
| 15% | -18.1% | 14% | -20.8% |
| 20% | -26.1% | 0% | -28.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $151 | $151 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 77¢ | 80¢ | $19 | $20 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | Jun 22 | $134 | +$25 | +19% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | May 07 | $129 | +$7 | +5% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Apr 03 | $125 | +$4 | +3% |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Jan 13 | $119 | +$5 | +4% |
| Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | Dec 16 | $139 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Dec 09 | $46 | +$20 | +43% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 07 | $209 | +$5 | +2% |