Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:27:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e0e…abec
crypto · 426 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$188 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$177 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized−$177
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses181 / 243
Open positions2
Markets (closed)424 / 426
History coverage31d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day98.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 424 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$49
14 days−$157
30 days−$223
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No 57¢ 44¢ $40 $31 −$9 (-22%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? Yes 33¢ 29¢ $23 $20 −$3 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$17 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$12 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$16 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$20 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$15 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Jun 12 $69 −$46 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$10 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$15 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$18 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$7 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$4 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$3 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $6 +$9 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $8 +$17 +214%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 09 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 09 $22 +$29 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 08 $21 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 07 $3 +$7 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 07 $43 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$205
finance 2% +$25
world 1% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $15 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-19.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -10.2% -18.8% 44% 44% -15.8%
≤30d 413 -12.1% -20.4% 43% 42% -12.8%
≤90d 424 -11.0% -19.5% 43% 42% -12.1%
all 424 -11.0% -19.5% 43% 42% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover98.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.5% 42% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.2% 41% -20.5%
15% -34.2% 37% -28.2%
20% -40.7% 33% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.45 · official $51.45 (match) · 3500 history records