Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:53:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e14…1511
sports · 214 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$554 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$554 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$554
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses140 / 74
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Est. fees paid−$16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)214 / 214
History coverage504d
Avg bet$142
Trades / day1.5
Drawdown82%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 0 History 214 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$150
7 days+$150
14 days+$150
30 days+$150
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score No 79¢ 0¢ $433 $0 −$433 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Yes 72¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $202 +$125 +62%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $115 −$98 -85%
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? Jun 12 $149 +$51 +34%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1,156 +$73 +6%
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score Apr 21 $433 −$433 -100%
Will Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? Apr 21 $49 −$31 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Apr 21 $20 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Apr 21 $417 +$44 +10%
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Apr 21 $144 −$144 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-21? Apr 21 $66 −$55 -84%
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21? Apr 21 $83 +$16 +20%
Madrid Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Venus Williams Apr 21 $168 +$22 +13%
Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Lillestrøm SK end in a draw? Apr 21 $56 −$56 -100%
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $84 +$16 +19%
Will Everton FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Apr 19 $50 +$28 +56%
BMW Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolo Apr 19 $12 −$12 -100%
Will US Cremonese vs. Torino FC end in a draw? Apr 19 $37 +$1 +2%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? Apr 16 $24 −$24 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? Apr 14 $17 $0 +2%
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score Apr 14 $12 +$3 +25%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich Apr 14 $202 +$27 +13%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13? Apr 13 $79 +$6 +8%
Will OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw? Apr 12 $56 +$12 +22%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12? Apr 12 $79 +$4 +6%
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-12? Apr 12 $150 +$15 +10%
Will Toronto FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw? Apr 11 $151 +$31 +21%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $474 +$53 +11%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $457 +$17 +4%
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $126 +$55 +43%
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea Apr 10 $13 −$7 -54%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09? Apr 09 $383 +$27 +7%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-09? Apr 09 $357 +$26 +7%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinner Apr 09 $346 +$11 +3%
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navone Apr 03 $28 −$27 -96%
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-04-03? Apr 03 $75 −$66 -88%
Miami Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jannik Sinner Mar 25 $1,157 +$74 +6%
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC end in a draw? Mar 24 $11 −$11 -100%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $155 +$23 +15%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz end in a draw? Mar 22 $68 +$13 +19%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $72 −$12 -17%
Will NEC vs. SC Heerenveen end in a draw? Mar 22 $52 +$9 +17%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22? Mar 22 $140 +$4 +3%
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? Mar 22 $63 −$63 -100%
ACF Fiorentina vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 2.5 Mar 22 $359 −$359 -100%
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Texas Southern Tigers Mar 22 $43 −$41 -96%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12? Mar 12 $360 +$40 +11%
Will Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? Mar 12 $40 −$21 -53%
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5 Mar 12 $65 +$7 +11%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11? Mar 11 $408 +$30 +7%
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech Mar 09 $180 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$41
sports 45% −$999
politics 7% +$1,543
crypto 1% +$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $328 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 61¢ $202 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $18 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 57¢ $115 2h
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? SELL Yes 100¢ $200 2h
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? BUY Yes 74¢ $149 3h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,228 25h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 94¢ $1,156 26h
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score BUY No 79¢ $36 52d
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score BUY No 79¢ $6 52d
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score BUY No 79¢ $36 52d
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score BUY No 79¢ $24 52d
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score BUY No 79¢ $28 52d
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score BUY No 79¢ $71 52d
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score BUY No 79¢ $36 52d
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score BUY No 79¢ $36 52d
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score BUY No 79¢ $143 52d
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score BUY No 79¢ $19 52d
Will Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? SELL Yes 24¢ $18 52d
Will Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? BUY Yes 64¢ $2 52d
Will Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? BUY Yes 64¢ $4 52d
Will Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? BUY Yes 64¢ $4 52d
Will Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? BUY Yes 64¢ $17 52d
Will Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? BUY Yes 64¢ $22 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $19 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $7 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $20 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $460 52d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $417 52d
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? BUY Yes 72¢ $91 52d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +4.3% -5.6% 75% 50% -1.1%
≤30d 4 +4.3% -5.6% 75% 50% -1.1%
≤90d 45 -19.7% -27.3% 64% 36% -16.5%
all 214 -5.4% -14.4% 65% 50% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.4% 50% -7.9%
10% -22.6% 30% -16.7%
15% -30.1% 17% -24.7%
20% -36.9% 9% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 806 history records