Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e1d…d0fa
crypto · 115 markets active 6d ago
2.0score
+$892,227 +163%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$892,227 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$892,227
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses145 / 61
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)206 / 115
Avg bet$4,766
Trades / day470.2
Drawdown3%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 206 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$484,340
7 days+$474,707
14 days+$892,227
30 days+$892,227
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $983 $0 −$983 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 7? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 25-31? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Yes 99¢ 0¢ $3,936 $0 −$3,936 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 19? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $215 $0 −$215 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29? Down 27¢ 0¢ $1,269 $0 −$1,269 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? No 0¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? Down 2¢ 0¢ $820 $0 −$820 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 22? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 26? No 19¢ 0¢ $872 $0 −$872 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Yes 99¢ 0¢ $1,297 $0 −$1,297 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $264 $0 −$264 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 5? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 17? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 9? No 75¢ 0¢ $5,894 $0 −$5,894 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 4? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Yes 98¢ 0¢ $2,106 $0 −$2,106 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 10? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 15? No 31¢ 0¢ $245 $0 −$245 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 13? No 13¢ 0¢ $402 $0 −$402 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1,918 $0 −$1,918 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $253 $0 −$253 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $409 $0 −$409 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 31? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 17? Jun 12 $983 +$4,763 +485%
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 19? Jun 12 $215 +$3,798 +1768%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29? Jun 12 $1,269 +$2,104 +166%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? Jun 12 $61 +$18,007 +29508%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? Jun 12 $820 +$13,708 +1672%
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 22? Jun 12 $7 +$2,930 +39316%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 26? Jun 12 $872 +$4,140 +475%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $264 +$2,191 +831%
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 17? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 9? Jun 12 $5,894 −$6,318 -107%
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 10? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10? Jun 12 $8 +$19,306 +233103%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 15? Jun 12 $245 −$48 -20%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 13? Jun 12 $402 −$91 -23%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20? Jun 12 $1,918 +$6,383 +333%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6? Jun 12 $253 +$5,560 +2194%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12? Jun 12 $409 +$849 +208%
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 4-10? Jun 12 $54 +$415 +768%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 4-10? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 28? Jun 12 $2 +$2,300 +115738%
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 24? Jun 12 $121 +$3,880 +3199%
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10? Jun 12 $43 +$11,537 +26894%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6? Jun 12 $3,096 +$15,346 +496%
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21? Jun 12 $1,203 +$6,874 +571%
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $507 −$78 -15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $4,103 +$17,939 +437%
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24? Jun 12 $242 +$3,459 +1427%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 19? Jun 12 $12 +$11,399 +93153%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 5? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 26? Jun 12 $47 +$72 +154%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6? Jun 12 $2 +$5,170 +266966%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17? Jun 12 $1,030 +$13,422 +1303%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17? Jun 12 $237 +$7 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 14? Jun 12 $100 +$5,604 +5620%
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 11-17? Jun 12 $16 +$4,210 +25586%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 19? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26? Jun 12 $1 +$10,192 +928130%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 6? Jun 12 $614 +$737 +120%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 21? Jun 12 $332 +$350 +106%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27? Jun 12 $1 +$8,081 +634081%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 24? Jun 12 $1 +$10,659 +1762041%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on May 6? Jun 12 $39 +$2,655 +6753%
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 10? Jun 12 $5 +$2,814 +56271%
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 10? Jun 12 $7 +$3,239 +48038%
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 11-17? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 21? Jun 12 $4 +$68 +1935%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 12? Jun 12 $250 +$802 +320%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 14? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$407,887
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 7? SELL No 100¢ $1 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? SELL Yes 1¢ $31 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 7? SELL No 100¢ $131 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 7? SELL No 100¢ $210 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 89¢ $319 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? BUY No 90¢ $6 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1? BUY No 90¢ $7 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? BUY No 90¢ $372 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? BUY No 91¢ $18 10d
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on June 1? BUY No 96¢ $737 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 88¢ $444 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? BUY Yes 98¢ $59 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 11¢ $4 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 10¢ $14 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2? BUY No 85¢ $207 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 12¢ $4 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? BUY Yes 98¢ $128 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? BUY No 85¢ $17 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? BUY Yes 99¢ $99 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 13¢ $11 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 14¢ $14 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7? BUY Yes 95¢ $124 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 10¢ $12 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 11¢ $58 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1? BUY Yes 12¢ $4 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)+535.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 +894.7% +800.0% 76% 70% +278.8%
≤30d 206 +602.0% +535.2% 70% 57% +39.9%
≤90d 206 +602.0% +535.2% 70% 57% +39.9%
all 206 +602.0% +535.2% 70% 57% +39.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover470.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +535.2% 57% +39.9%
10% +474.4% 55% +26.5%
15% ← realistic here +418.9% 53% +14.3%
20% +368.0% 50% +3.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records