trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 38% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 38% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 21 | +7.3% | -2.9% | 38% | 5% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.9% | 5% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -12.2% | 5% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -20.7% | 5% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -28.5% | 5% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 22 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 04 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 03 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 01 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 29 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 28 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 27 | $4 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? | Jun 27 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 24 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 20? | Jun 21 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 15 executive orders in May? | May 29 | $25 | −$4 | -18% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | May 28 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | May 28 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? | May 28 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.50 in May? | May 27 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election? | May 25 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | May 24 | $3 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pierre Gasly finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? | May 24 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 | May 23 | $26 | $0 | -0% |