Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:13:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6e23…0c79 crypto 54 markets active 4d ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$14 (-12%) realized −$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate41%22W / 32L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day53.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 72% −$14
other 14% −$1
politics 10% −$1
sports 4% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -9.1% -17.8% 41% 35% -24.0%
≤30d 54 -9.1% -17.8% 41% 35% -24.0%
≤90d 54 -9.1% -17.8% 41% 35% -24.0%
all 54 -9.1% -17.8% 41% 35% -24.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover53.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.8% 35% -24.0%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 31% -31.3%
15% -32.8% 19% -38.0%
20% -39.4% 17% -44.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -8% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.52 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses22 / 32
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)54 / 54
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day53.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 54 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +48%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele Jun 12 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +93%
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 -8%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 12 $2 $0 -2%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $2 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -38%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $3 $0 -13%
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 11 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1 $0 -6%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 11 $1 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 11 $1 $0 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $4 4d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $2 4d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 17¢ $2 4d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 4d
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL Yes 23¢ $1 4d
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL Yes 23¢ $1 4d
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 4d
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL Yes 23¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 4d
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele SELL Yes 50¢ $1 4d
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele BUY Yes 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 153 history records