Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T18:31:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6e2b…00a5 crypto 51 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (209 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$106 (+3%) realized +$106 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate57%29W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$62per market
Trades / day209.0pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$109
other 3% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (209 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-20.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 -12.5% -20.8% 57% 33% -13.1%
≤30d 51 -12.5% -20.8% 57% 33% -13.1%
≤90d 51 -12.5% -20.8% 57% 33% -13.1%
all 51 -12.5% -20.8% 57% 33% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover209.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.8% 33% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -28.4% 24% -21.4%
15% -35.3% 14% -29.0%
20% -41.7% 10% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
38% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -13% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$24 · ×0.61 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$106
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses29 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)51 / 51
History coverage1d
Avg bet$62
Trades / day209.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 51 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $36 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $26 −$22 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $51 −$12 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $25 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $52 −$17 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 18 $52 −$46 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 18 $77 +$42 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$6 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $51 −$3 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$22 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 18 $41 −$15 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $77 −$14 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $103 −$31 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 18 $128 +$15 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $104 −$94 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 18 $103 +$22 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $104 +$30 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $103 −$21 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 18 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $259 +$31 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $154 +$18 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $56 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $128 +$58 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $129 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $102 −$34 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $77 −$25 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $103 +$49 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 18 $103 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $52 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $51 +$18 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$6 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $50 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $31 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $103 +$13 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $31 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 18 $16 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $76 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $51 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +7%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $51 +$47 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $19 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $20 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $3 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $28 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $11 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $26 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $24 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $31 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $6 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $26 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $26 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 213 history records