Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:13:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e2c…ff6a
crypto · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -49%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses5 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -1%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -78%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% −$5
other 25% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 84¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 13¢ $0 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 11h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $1 12h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $1 12h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-27.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -19.5% -27.2% 62% 0% -52.1%
≤30d 8 -19.5% -27.2% 62% 0% -52.1%
≤90d 8 -19.5% -27.2% 62% 0% -52.1%
all 8 -19.5% -27.2% 62% 0% -52.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -27.2% 0% -52.1%
10% -34.1% 0% -56.7%
15% -40.5% 0% -60.9%
20% -46.3% 0% -64.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 17 history records