Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:42:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e40…a243
crypto · 447 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$503 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$503 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2
Realized−$503
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses177 / 269
Open positions1
Markets (closed)446 / 447
Avg bet$11
Trades / day61.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 446 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$93
7 days−$187
14 days−$395
30 days−$503
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 48¢ 40¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$8 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$19 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$9 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$7 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$7 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$16 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$15 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$7 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$498
politics 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $11 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 16¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $14 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 253 -9.0% -17.7% 40% 36% -16.7%
≤30d 446 -6.3% -15.2% 40% 35% -19.4%
≤90d 446 -6.3% -15.2% 40% 35% -19.4%
all 446 -6.3% -15.2% 40% 35% -19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 35% -19.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 31% -27.1%
15% -30.7% 29% -34.1%
20% -37.5% 27% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.50 · official $3.66 · 1194 history records