Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:47:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e41…5e0c
weather · 576 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,083 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,658 · open +$50
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$276
Realized−$1,658
Unrealized+$50
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses192 / 356
Open positions28
Markets (closed)548 / 576
History coverage12d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day243.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 28 History 548 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$330
7 days−$289
14 days−$1,658
30 days−$1,658
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14? No 82¢ 100¢ $49 $61 +$11 (+22%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 14? No 36¢ 86¢ $24 $56 +$32 (+136%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14? No 41¢ 40¢ $52 $51 −$1 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 14? No 41¢ 100¢ $21 $50 +$30 (+145%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14? Yes 32¢ 87¢ $8 $20 +$13 (+168%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 14? Yes 3¢ 10¢ $5 $16 +$11 (+237%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 14? No 95¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14? No 55¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+82%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 14? Yes 28¢ 100¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+256%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 14? Yes 68¢ 81¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+20%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on June 14? No 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+136%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14? No 55¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 14? Yes 21¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+376%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 14? No 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 14? No 74¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 14? No 93¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 14? No 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+124%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 14? Yes 76¢ 96¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+26%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-98%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-99%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 14? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on June 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-25%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 14? No 52¢ 14¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-72%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 14? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or below on June 14? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 14 $1 +$9 +842%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 14? Jun 14 $7 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 14? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 14? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 14? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 14? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14? Jun 14 $3 +$2 +69%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 14? Jun 14 $8 −$6 -75%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14? Jun 14 $7 +$25 +376%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14? Jun 14 $11 +$20 +171%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 14? Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 14? Jun 14 $3 +$1 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -91%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? Jun 14 $6 +$24 +419%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 14? Jun 14 $8 −$6 -82%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 14 $50 −$34 -68%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 13? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 13? Jun 14 $1 +$1 +82%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 14 $35 −$25 -73%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14? Jun 14 $7 −$6 -84%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 13? Jun 14 $8 +$15 +198%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13? Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13? Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 14 $14 −$1 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 14? Jun 14 $7 −$6 -90%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $15 −$12 -81%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 +$4 +148%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $13 +$12 +89%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 +$6 +99%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $9 −$1 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $60 +$103 +172%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $19 +$43 +230%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13? Jun 13 $13 −$3 -25%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? Jun 13 $21 +$13 +61%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 +$2 +82%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 13 $8 −$7 -88%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $21 −$17 -81%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$1,609
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 36m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on June 14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 37m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju SELL Yes 98¢ $10 50m
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June SELL No 25¢ $7 59m
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 14? BUY Yes 68¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 14? SELL No 89¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 14? SELL Yes 88¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $14 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14? BUY Yes 33¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14? BUY Yes 33¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY No 86¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 14? BUY Yes 76¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 14? BUY No 84¢ $7 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14? BUY No 65¢ $20 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $30 1h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 14? SELL Yes 23¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $14 2h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $19 2h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $14 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY No 36¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY No 36¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY No 36¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $30 2h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on June 14? SELL No 100¢ $30 2h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14? SELL Yes 98¢ $5 3h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 14? SELL No 11¢ $2 3h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY No 32¢ $5 4h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14? BUY No 33¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 328 -4.3% -13.4% 37% 32% -16.7%
≤30d 548 -8.0% -16.8% 35% 29% -24.2%
≤90d 548 -8.0% -16.8% 35% 29% -24.2%
all 548 -8.0% -16.8% 35% 29% -24.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover243.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 29% -24.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 27% -31.4%
15% -32.0% 24% -38.0%
20% -38.7% 23% -44.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $276.31 · official $261.16 · 3500 history records