Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:11:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6e4d…e0f2 crypto 657 markets active 21h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (355 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$70 (-0%) realized −$70 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%646W / 10L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$23per market
Trades / day354.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$8now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$82
politics 0% $0
sports 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (355 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 656 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -10.0%
≤30d 656 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -10.0%
≤90d 656 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -10.0%
all 656 -0.4% -9.9% 98% 0% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover354.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 0% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$24 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$8
Realized−$70
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses646 / 10
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)656 / 657
History coverage2d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day354.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 656 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 83¢ 80¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 10 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 19 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 19 $18 +$2 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.05 · official $8.05 (match) · 1432 history records