Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:25:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e58…69bc
crypto · 40 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$35 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses4 / 33
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)37 / 40
History coverage169d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 3 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$30
7 days+$30
14 days+$30
30 days+$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-4%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 61¢ 74¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+20%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 6¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-59%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 29? No 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 27? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 27? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 27? No 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on December 29? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 27? No 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on December 27? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 29? No 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 27? No 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 30? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on December 27? No 7¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 29? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on December 29? Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 27? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 29? No 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 27? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 29? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 27? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 30? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on December 27? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 27? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 +$33 +650%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 30? Dec 30 $1 +$1 +53%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 30? Dec 30 $100 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 30 Dec 30 $1 −$1 -92%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 3 Dec 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 30? Dec 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 30? Dec 30 $2 −$2 -79%
Ethereum Up or Down on December 30? Dec 30 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? Dec 29 $200 +$9 +5%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on December 29? Dec 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on December 29? Dec 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 29? Dec 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 29? Dec 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 29 Dec 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 2 Dec 29 $2 −$1 -50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 2 Dec 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 2 Dec 28 $630 +$4 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 28 Dec 28 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on December 28? Dec 28 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 28? Dec 28 $1 −$1 -69%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 28? Dec 28 $10 −$7 -68%
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 28? Dec 28 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down on December 28? Dec 28 $2 −$2 -90%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 31 Dec 27 $20 −$3 -13%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 27 Dec 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 27 Dec 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 2 Dec 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 2 Dec 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on December 2 Dec 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 2 Dec 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 27? Dec 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 27? Dec 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 27? Dec 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on December 27? Dec 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on December 27? Dec 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on December 27? Dec 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$65
other 2% −$3
sports 0% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 61¢ $4 1h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $8 8h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 8h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 8h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 30? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 165d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 30? SELL No 100¢ $100 165d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 30? BUY No 100¢ $100 165d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 30 SELL No 3¢ $0 165d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 3 SELL Yes 0¢ $0 165d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 3 BUY Yes 12¢ $1 165d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 30? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 165d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 30? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 165d
Ethereum Up or Down on December 30? SELL Down 3¢ $0 165d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 30? BUY Yes 65¢ $1 165d
Ethereum Up or Down on December 30? BUY Down 15¢ $1 165d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 30 BUY No 38¢ $1 165d
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? SELL Down 99¢ $209 166d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 30? SELL Yes 8¢ $0 166d
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 29? BUY Down 95¢ $200 166d
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on December 29? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 166d
Ethereum Up or Down on December 29? BUY Up 64¢ $1 166d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 29? BUY No 18¢ $1 166d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 30? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 166d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 29? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 166d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 29 BUY No 40¢ $1 166d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 2 BUY No 57¢ $1 166d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 2 SELL Yes 39¢ $1 166d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 2 BUY Yes 43¢ $1 167d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 2 BUY Yes 40¢ $1 167d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-65.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +274.8% +239.1% 50% 50% +328.0%
≤30d 2 +274.8% +239.1% 50% 50% +328.0%
≤90d 2 +274.8% +239.1% 50% 50% +328.0%
all 37 -61.9% -65.6% 11% 5% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -65.6% 5% -12.5%
10% -68.9% 5% -20.9%
15% -71.9% 5% -28.5%
20% -74.6% 5% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.94 · official $12.94 (match) · 66 history records