Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:56:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6e59…7fdf sports 89 markets active 6d ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (68 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$380 (-10%) realized −$380 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -34% what you keep after slip
Net edge-34%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate44%39W / 50L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$42per market
Trades / day67.6pace
Fees−$83est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 99% −$444
crypto 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (68 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 29 -39.5% -45.3% 24% 21% -35.4%
≤30d 89 -13.7% -21.9% 44% 37% -20.1%
≤90d 89 -13.7% -21.9% 44% 37% -20.1%
all 89 -13.7% -21.9% 44% 37% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover67.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.9% 37% -20.1%
10% ← realistic here -29.4% 34% -27.8%
15% -36.2% 29% -34.8%
20% -42.5% 19% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +7% → late -34% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$15 vs −$21 · ×0.72 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$380
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses39 / 50
Est. fees paid−$83
Open positions0
Markets (closed)89 / 89
History coverage6d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day67.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 89 Trades
no open positions (31 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $11 −$11 -98%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $61 −$52 -85%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 12 $35 +$15 +42%
ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Aliona Falei Jun 12 $48 −$48 -98%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann Jun 12 $238 −$30 -13%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $98 −$2 -2%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $48 −$32 -67%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $71 +$22 +32%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $35 −$34 -98%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $113 −$78 -69%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $235 −$44 -19%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 11 $46 −$3 -7%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $62 −$17 -27%
Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Giron Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 11 $51 +$57 +112%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $103 +$35 +34%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $102 −$26 -26%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $83 +$18 +22%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 11 $6 $0 +0%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 11 $26 −$25 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $15 +$9 +62%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Sofya Lansere vs Francesca Curmi Jun 11 $40 −$17 -44%
ITF Wuning: Ya Yi Yang vs Anchisa Chanta Jun 11 $66 −$47 -72%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Junhan Zhang Jun 11 $76 −$34 -45%
ITF Wuning: Kyoka Okamura vs Varvara Panshina Jun 11 $71 −$70 -99%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Mai Hontama Jun 11 $79 +$7 +9%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho Jun 11 $21 −$21 -99%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $110 +$14 +13%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $47 +$30 +65%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $21 −$21 -100%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $75 +$29 +38%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $30 −$21 -70%
Modena: Noma Noha Akugue vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 10 $36 −$26 -74%
ITF Wuning: Haruka Kaji vs Ya Yi Yang Jun 10 $59 −$17 -29%
ITF Wuning: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Rina Saigo Jun 10 $30 +$13 +44%
ITF Wuning: Zongyu Li vs Sohyun Park Jun 10 $10 +$10 +104%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $14 −$13 -98%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 09 $31 −$4 -13%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 09 $20 −$11 -56%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 09 $64 +$8 +12%
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 09 $23 +$16 +71%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Federica Urgesi Jun 09 $11 −$10 -98%
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Jun 09 $67 +$40 +60%
ITF Hurghada: Valentina Ryser vs Amra Sadikovic Jun 09 $38 +$33 +86%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 09 $37 +$1 +2%
ITF Hurghada: Elizaveta Rozhkova vs Summer Yardley Jun 09 $34 −$34 -100%
ITF Wuning: Kyoka Okamura vs Hiromi Abe Jun 09 $37 −$36 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 48¢ $11 5d
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz SELL Leyre Romero Gormaz 8¢ $9 5d
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 48¢ $46 5d
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 48¢ $3 5d
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 48¢ $1 5d
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus SELL Tatiana Prozorova 85¢ $50 5d
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 52¢ $10 5d
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 52¢ $51 5d
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus BUY Tatiana Prozorova 59¢ $35 5d
ITF Guimaraes: Francisca Jorge vs Aliona Falei BUY Francisca Jorge 45¢ $48 5d
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann SELL Caijsa Hennemann 20¢ $44 5d
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann SELL Caijsa Hennemann 20¢ $4 5d
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann BUY Caijsa Hennemann 31¢ $76 5d
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann SELL Lucie Havlickova 56¢ $36 5d
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann SELL Lucie Havlickova 56¢ $3 5d
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann SELL Lucie Havlickova 54¢ $25 5d
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann SELL Lucie Havlickova 55¢ $13 5d
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann BUY Lucie Havlickova 59¢ $83 5d
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann SELL Lucie Havlickova 59¢ $83 5d
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann BUY Lucie Havlickova 55¢ $8 5d
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Caijsa Hennemann BUY Lucie Havlickova 55¢ $71 5d
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka BUY Viktoria Morvayova 10¢ $5 5d
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang BUY Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 36¢ $10 5d
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang SELL Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 51¢ $21 5d
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang SELL Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 51¢ $30 5d
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang SELL Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 43¢ $0 5d
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang SELL Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 43¢ $37 5d
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang SELL Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 43¢ $5 5d
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang BUY Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 15¢ $16 5d
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito SELL Varvara Panshina 13¢ $16 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 425 history records