Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:00:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e5f…6ee5
sports · 32 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$61 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open −$94
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$580
Realized−$56
Unrealized−$94
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses10 / 9
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions13
Markets (closed)19 / 32
History coverage2d
Avg bet$60
Trades / day25.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 13 History 19 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$56
14 days−$56
30 days−$56
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Kiwoom Heroes 55¢ 100¢ $58 $105 +$47 (+82%)
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo Alex de Minaur 83¢ 80¢ $84 $82 −$3 (-3%)
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Rafael Jodar Rafael Jodar 71¢ 69¢ $72 $71 −$2 (-2%)
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka Jiri Lehecka 61¢ 62¢ $62 $63 +$1 (+1%)
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala Donna Vekic 54¢ 54¢ $55 $55 +$0 (+0%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Zachary Svajda 52¢ 55¢ $47 $49 +$2 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 45¢ 46¢ $42 $42 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage illwill 19¢ 41¢ $15 $33 +$18 (+116%)
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Eintracht Spandau 29¢ 30¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+3%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Katie Volynets 52¢ 26¢ $55 $27 −$28 (-51%)
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner UCAM Esports Club 21¢ 20¢ $21 $21 −$1 (-2%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Lotte Giants 48¢ $13 $1 −$11 (-89%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 42¢ $43 $0 −$42 (-100%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Hanwha Eagles 46¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Donstu Esports 41¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage Wildcard Gaming 30¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Misa Esports 32¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5 Over 45¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Team WE 20¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 22¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona La Laguna Tenerife 36¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Team Heretics Academy 58¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Piratas de Quebradillas vs. Capitanes de Arecibo Jun 14 $3 +$3 +101%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5 Jun 14 $37 −$36 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $353 −$146 -41%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $71 +$31 +44%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline Jun 14 $201 +$100 +50%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 13 $72 +$30 +42%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $68 +$35 +52%
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $81 +$21 +26%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $77 +$25 +32%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $21 −$20 -98%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $56 +$46 +81%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $7 −$6 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $60 −$60 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $53 +$10 +20%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $36 +$12 +34%
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North Jun 12 $9 −$9 -99%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $43 −$42 -98%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $23 −$22 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$194
other 6% +$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Gabriel Diallo BUY Alex de Minaur 83¢ $85 39m
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Lehecka BUY Jiri Lehecka 61¢ $63 1h
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Rafael Jodar BUY Rafael Jodar 71¢ $73 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 19¢ $16 1h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY Lotte Giants 48¢ $3 1h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY Lotte Giants 48¢ $10 1h
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala BUY Donna Vekic 54¢ $56 1h
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 21¢ $22 2h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 29¢ $31 2h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 42¢ $43 2h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Hanwha Eagles 46¢ $30 4h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 55¢ $59 5h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5 BUY Over 45¢ $37 7h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 67¢ $69 7h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 53¢ $57 7h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Katie Volynets 52¢ $56 9h
Piratas de Quebradillas vs. Capitanes de Arecibo BUY Capitanes de Arecibo 49¢ $3 9h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 73¢ $75 9h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 78¢ $80 9h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 72¢ $73 10h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 45¢ $42 10h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline BUY Spurs 68¢ $69 10h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline BUY Spurs 65¢ $66 10h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline BUY Spurs 65¢ $67 10h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 69¢ $71 12h
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 70¢ $72 14h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 52¢ $47 14h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY La Laguna Tenerife 36¢ $2 15h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY La Laguna Tenerife 36¢ $11 15h
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona BUY La Laguna Tenerife 36¢ $14 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-26.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 -18.9% -26.6% 53% 53% -13.4%
≤30d 19 -18.9% -26.6% 53% 53% -13.4%
≤90d 19 -18.9% -26.6% 53% 53% -13.4%
all 19 -18.9% -26.6% 53% 53% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.6% 53% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -33.7% 47% -21.7%
15% -40.1% 32% -29.3%
20% -45.9% 16% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $580.05 · official $580.06 (match) · 57 history records