trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -21.0% | -28.5% | 27% | 27% | -16.5% |
| ≤30d | 35 | -36.6% | -42.6% | 23% | 20% | -45.3% |
| ≤90d | 70 | -27.5% | -34.4% | 23% | 21% | -29.0% |
| all | 322 | -12.8% | -21.1% | 28% | 27% | -10.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.1% | 27% | -10.8% |
| 10% | -28.7% | 26% | -19.3% |
| 15% | -35.6% | 25% | -27.1% |
| 20% | -41.9% | 25% | -34.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $257 | $263 | +$6 (+2%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $170 | $207 | +$37 (+21%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $140 | $110 | −$30 (-21%) |
| Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | Yes | 4¢ | 3¢ | $120 | $94 | −$26 (-22%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $50 | $39 | −$11 (-23%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $146 | +$131 | +90% |
| Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia? | Jun 18 | $123 | +$255 | +207% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $154 | −$150 | -97% |
| Spread: Austria (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $66 | +$78 | +119% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Algeria? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Algeria? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Algeria? | Jun 16 | $15 | −$15 | -97% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $154 | −$150 | -97% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 1 - 0 New Zealand? | Jun 15 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 0 New Zealand? | Jun 15 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $108 | −$105 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $24 | −$23 | -97% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $82 | +$135 | +165% |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) | Jun 12 | $57 | −$56 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $266 | +$663 | +250% |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) | Jun 11 | $369 | −$360 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) | Jun 09 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? | Jun 08 | $11 | −$11 | -97% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 08 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $1,301 | −$404 | -31% |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5) | Jun 06 | $185 | +$18 | +10% |
| Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 | Jun 05 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $102 | +$231 | +226% |
| Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 04 | $123 | −$120 | -97% |
| Spread: Spurs (-21.5) | Jun 03 | $247 | −$240 | -97% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 29 | $153 | −$150 | -98% |
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | May 28 | $240 | −$143 | -59% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $552 | −$540 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $552 | −$540 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5 | May 24 | $368 | −$360 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 23 | $369 | −$360 | -98% |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | May 21 | $367 | −$360 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $1,161 | +$102 | +9% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $428 | −$420 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 18 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $584 | −$570 | -98% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 16 | $276 | −$270 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $369 | +$1,346 | +365% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $613 | −$600 | -98% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 12 | $12 | −$12 | -97% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $675 | −$660 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $306 | −$300 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $338 | −$330 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 08 | $368 | −$360 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 06 | $429 | −$420 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $368 | +$1,197 | +325% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | May 01 | $337 | +$695 | +206% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $306 | −$300 | -98% |