Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T00:27:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6e6e…ff72 crypto 1211 markets active 2h ago coverage 78d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 78d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$611 (-1%) realized −$611 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -25% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -42% what you keep after slip
Net edge-42%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate42%609W / 851L
Whale WR44%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$37per market
Trades / day34.8pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 78d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$3,477
sports 0% −$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-32.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 273 -94.2% -94.8% 3% 3% -92.4%
≤30d 550 -49.5% -54.3% 29% 28% -43.0%
≤90d 1460 -25.1% -32.2% 42% 41% -25.8%
all 1460 -25.1% -32.2% 42% 41% -25.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover34.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.2% 41% -25.8%
10% ← realistic here -38.7% 38% -32.9%
15% -44.6% 32% -39.3%
20% -50.1% 27% -45.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -25% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 44% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -11% → late -39% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$25 vs −$28 · ×0.89 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

78d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$611
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses609 / 851
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1460 / 1211
History coverage78d ⚠
Avg bet$37
Trades / day34.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1460 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 27 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 27 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 27 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 27 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 27 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 27 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 27 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 27 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 27 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 27 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 27 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $355 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $165 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $78 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $41 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $62 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 36h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records