trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 15¢ | 13¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-14%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | Up | 32¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | +$2 | +145% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +69% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | Jun 14 | $5 | +$5 | +95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | Jun 14 | $5 | −$2 | -38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Jun 14 | $2 | +$3 | +165% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Jun 14 | $5 | +$4 | +70% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +18.1% | +6.9% | 55% | 55% | +3.5% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +18.1% | +6.9% | 55% | 55% | +3.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +18.1% | +6.9% | 55% | 55% | +3.5% |
| all | 11 | +18.1% | +6.9% | 55% | 55% | +3.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +6.9% | 55% | +3.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -3.4% | 55% | -6.4% |
| 15% | -12.7% | 55% | -15.4% |
| 20% | -21.3% | 55% | -23.7% |