Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T06:11:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
6E 0x6e71…b6c3 crypto 93 markets active 2h ago coverage 239d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$15 (+0%) realized +$13 · open +$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -8% what you keep after slip
Net edge-8%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate100%88W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$88per market
Trades / day0.4pace
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$124now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$12
other 1% +$2
tech 0% $0
world 0% +$1
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 6 +1.7% -8.0% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 27 +1.1% -8.6% 100% 4% -9.4%
all 88 +1.2% -8.4% 100% 5% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 5% -9.4%
10% -17.2% 1% -18.0%
15% -25.2% 1% -26.0%
20% -32.5% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

239d coverage
Net worth$124
Realized+$13
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses88 / 0
Open positions5
Markets (closed)88 / 93
History coverage239d
Avg bet$88
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 5 History 88 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 27? No 100¢ 100¢ $105 $105 +$0 (+0%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No 98¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No 100¢ 100¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-0%)
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June? No 72¢ 95¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+32%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 79¢ 96¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+21%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 17 $119 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $121 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5? Jun 08 $120 $0 +0%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $320 in May? Jun 03 $3 $0 +5%
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on Jun 03 $4 $0 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25? Jun 03 $112 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22? May 24 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20? May 22 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 8? May 16 $118 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 6? May 07 $119 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1? May 04 $113 $0 +0%
Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30? May 01 $3 $0 +17%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? May 01 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27? Apr 28 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on April 24? Apr 26 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 19? Apr 23 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15? Apr 16 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on April 13? Apr 15 $121 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11? Apr 12 $120 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9? Apr 10 $119 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on April 8? Apr 09 $119 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 6? Apr 07 $120 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 3? Apr 05 $120 $0 +0%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of March? Apr 02 $6 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 1? Apr 02 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 29? Mar 30 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on March 27? Mar 27 $110 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on March 25? Mar 26 $109 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on March 23? Mar 24 $117 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 21? Mar 22 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 19? Mar 20 $120 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on March 16? Mar 18 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 11? Mar 14 $117 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 8? Mar 10 $119 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 7? Mar 07 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 6? Mar 07 $117 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 1? Mar 05 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 27? Feb 28 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 25? Feb 26 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on February 22? Feb 23 $114 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on February 20? Feb 21 $115 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 18? Feb 18 $117 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on February 1 Feb 16 $113 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 14? Feb 14 $117 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on February 12? Feb 12 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 10? Feb 11 $112 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 8? Feb 08 $116 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 6? Feb 07 $111 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on February 3? Feb 05 $116 $0 +0%
Will Solana dip to $90 in January? Feb 02 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 27? BUY No 100¢ $105 1h
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June? BUY No 72¢ $3 7d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY No 79¢ $3 7d
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? BUY No 100¢ $6 7d
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? BUY No 98¢ $6 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? BUY No 100¢ $119 13d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $121 16d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $120 22d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25? BUY No 100¢ $112 31d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22? BUY Yes 100¢ $114 33d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20? BUY No 100¢ $111 36d
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on BUY Yes 95¢ $4 48d
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $320 in May? BUY No 95¢ $3 48d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 8? BUY No 100¢ $118 48d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 6? BUY No 100¢ $119 50d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1? BUY No 100¢ $113 55d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27? BUY No 100¢ $111 59d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on April 24? BUY No 100¢ $111 62d
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? BUY No 100¢ $6 66d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 19? BUY No 100¢ $113 67d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15? BUY No 100¢ $113 70d
Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30? BUY No 85¢ $3 72d
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on April 13? BUY No 100¢ $121 73d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $120 75d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9? BUY No 100¢ $119 76d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on April 8? BUY No 100¢ $119 79d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 6? BUY No 100¢ $120 81d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 3? BUY No 100¢ $120 83d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 1? BUY No 100¢ $114 86d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 29? BUY No 100¢ $113 89d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $124.26 · official $124.26 (match) · 182 history records