Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:12:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e7a…28e3
sports · 12 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$10,126 +90%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10,633 · open −$205
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized+$10,633
Unrealized−$205
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses4 / 5
Est. fees paid−$250
Open positions3
Markets (closed)9 / 12
History coverage2d
Avg bet$941
Trades / day23.9
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 3 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10,633
7 days+$10,633
14 days+$10,633
30 days+$10,633
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 10¢ 6¢ $10 $7 −$4 (-35%)
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Brazil 7¢ 0¢ $191 $1 −$190 (-99%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Brazil 14¢ 1¢ $13 $1 −$12 (-93%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,081 $0 −$1,081 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $164 +$45 +27%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $8 −$5 -58%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 13 $2,947 +$8,881 +301%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $84 −$8 -10%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $3,114 −$446 -14%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $147 +$3,236 +2208%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,616 −$30 -2%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1,157 −$1,081 -93%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $42 +$41 +97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% +$11,502
other 25% −$1,073
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $11 18m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 67¢ $208 24m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 48¢ $63 43m
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) SELL Brazil 1¢ $29 44m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 47¢ $16 45m
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) SELL Brazil 1¢ $2 46m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 47¢ $84 46m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 26¢ $4 48m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 9¢ $83 49m
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 14¢ $160 51m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half SELL Yes 99¢ $2,952 1h
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) BUY Brazil 7¢ $454 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half SELL Yes 95¢ $8,876 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 55¢ $8 1h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 7¢ $5 1h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 12¢ $11 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 15¢ $63 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 SELL Over 82¢ $75 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 20¢ $319 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 20¢ $119 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 22¢ $728 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 23¢ $1,505 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 46¢ $2,668 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $1,689 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $1,425 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 17¢ $213 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $3,382 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 1¢ $53 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 0¢ $535 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 0¢ $585 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+210.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +242.7% +210.1% 44% 44% +112.8%
≤30d 9 +242.7% +210.1% 44% 44% +112.8%
≤90d 9 +242.7% +210.1% 44% 44% +112.8%
all 9 +242.7% +210.1% 44% 44% +112.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +210.1% 44% +112.8%
10% +180.4% 44% +92.5%
15% ← realistic here +153.3% 33% +73.9%
20% +128.5% 33% +56.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.77 · official $8.77 (match) · 42 history records