Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T22:57:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6e87…acb6 crypto 325 markets active 1d ago coverage 26d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$6 (-0%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR40%break-even
Win rate82%267W / 58L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day13.8pace
Kalshi-fit72%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days+$11
14 days+$16
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 72% −$8
other 28% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 129 +0.9% -8.7% 84% 44% -8.3%
≤30d 325 -3.1% -12.4% 82% 40% -10.7%
≤90d 325 -3.1% -12.4% 82% 40% -10.7%
all 325 -3.1% -12.4% 82% 40% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.4% 40% -10.7%
10% -20.8% 19% -19.2%
15% -28.4% 10% -27.0%
20% -35.4% 5% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
48% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$4 · ×0.2 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses267 / 58
Open positions0
Markets (closed)325 / 325
History coverage26d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day13.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 325 Trades
no open positions (53 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -99%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $11 −$11 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $16 −$5 -29%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +36%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 +$2 +21%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +34%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $5 29h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 29h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 30h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 30h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 30h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 31h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 33h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 33h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 33h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $6 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 632 history records