Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:13:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e8d…2ba4
sports · 18 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Net worth$4
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses8 / 7
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)15 / 18
History coverage7d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 3 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 87¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 71¢ 69¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 25¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -72%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $7 −$5 -66%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 -36%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $1 $0 +27%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $1 $0 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% −$6
other 30% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $2 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 95¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 87¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 91¢ $5 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 17¢ $0 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 11h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $1 11h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $1 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $11 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $10 12h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 84¢ $2 14h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster $1 16h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 25¢ $1 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $6 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $2 39h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $1 39h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 80¢ $2 39h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 21¢ $1 39h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 42h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL No 100¢ $12 44h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 83¢ $5 45h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 84¢ $5 45h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) SELL Korea Republic 10¢ $1 45h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $1 45h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $2 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $3 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 2d
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 15¢ $1 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $1 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-29.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -22.0% -29.4% 53% 33% -13.5%
≤30d 15 -22.0% -29.4% 53% 33% -13.5%
≤90d 15 -22.0% -29.4% 53% 33% -13.5%
all 15 -22.0% -29.4% 53% 33% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.4% 33% -13.5%
10% -36.2% 27% -21.8%
15% -42.3% 20% -29.3%
20% -48.0% 7% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.12 · official $4.12 (match) · 38 history records